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Division Intermedia

Match Analysis

Independiente F.b.c. Benjamín Aceval
Independiente F.b.c. W L W L D W
Benjamín Aceval W L W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Independiente F.b.c. Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Away Sportivo Carapeguá 0 - 2 Win
May 29, 26 Home 12 de Junio VH 1 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Encarnación 2 - 3 Win
May 19, 26 Home Deportivo Santani 0 - 2 Loss
May 14, 26 Away Fernando De La Mora 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Home 3 de Noviembre 2 - 0 Win

Benjamín Aceval Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Tacuary 3 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Away Atlético Tembetary 4 - 3 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Paraguari AC 1 - 2 Win
May 21, 26 Home Sportivo Carapeguá 2 - 0 Win
May 15, 26 Away 12 de Junio VH 1 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Home Encarnación 1 - 0 Win

Division Intermedia Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Benjamín Aceval 11 7 2 2 20 10 +10 23
5 Independiente F.b.c. 11 5 3 3 16 13 +3 18

Predictions

Benjamín Aceval to win
This prediction indicates that Benjamín Aceval has a 45.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.63 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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