Division Intermedia
Match Analysis
Independiente F.b.c.
Sportivo Carapeguá
Independiente F.b.c.
W
W
W
D
L
D
Sportivo Carapeguá
D
W
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Carapeguá | Independiente F.b.c. | 0 - 2 | June 6, 2026 |
| Independiente F.b.c. | Sportivo Carapeguá | 3 - 3 | August 3, 2025 |
| Sportivo Carapeguá | Independiente F.b.c. | 1 - 1 | April 28, 2025 |
| Independiente F.b.c. | Sportivo Carapeguá | 0 - 1 | August 19, 2024 |
| Sportivo Carapeguá | Independiente F.b.c. | 1 - 0 | May 12, 2024 |
| Sportivo Carapeguá | Independiente F.b.c. | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2023 |
Independiente F.b.c. Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | 12 de Junio VH | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 14, 26 | Home | Encarnación | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Deportivo Santani | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Fernando De La Mora | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | 3 de Noviembre | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | General Caballero | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Sportivo Carapeguá Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Tacuary | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Atlético Tembetary | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | Benjamín Aceval | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Paraguari AC | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | 12 de Junio VH | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Encarnación | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Division Intermedia Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente F.b.c. | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 32 | +1 | 34 |
| 8 | Sportivo Carapeguá | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
Predictions
Independiente F.b.c. to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente F.b.c. has a 47.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.31 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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