Independiente F.b.c. vs Tacuary Monday 13th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Independiente F.b.c. Tacuary

Independiente F.b.c. D L W L W L

Tacuary W W L D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tacuary	Independiente F.b.c.	1 - 0	August 20, 2025
Independiente F.b.c.	Tacuary	0 - 1	May 14, 2025
Independiente F.b.c.	Tacuary	0 - 2	September 17, 2021
Tacuary	Independiente F.b.c.	1 - 3	June 13, 2021

Independiente F.b.c. Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Atlético Tembetary	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Home	Benjamín Aceval	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Sportivo Carapeguá	0 - 2	Win
May 29, 26	Home	12 de Junio VH	1 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Encarnación	2 - 3	Win
May 19, 26	Home	Deportivo Santani	0 - 2	Loss

Tacuary Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	Paraguari AC	0 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Atlético Tembetary	4 - 2	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Benjamín Aceval	3 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Sportivo Carapeguá	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	12 de Junio VH	2 - 2	Draw
May 19, 26	Home	Encarnación	2 - 2	Draw

Division Intermedia Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Independiente F.b.c.	12	5	3	4	17	15	+2	18
13	Tacuary	13	2	6	5	17	21	-4	12

Predictions

Independiente F.b.c. to win

This prediction indicates that Independiente F.b.c. has a 46.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.14 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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