Independiente Medellin vs Vasco DA Gama Thursday 23rd July 2026 01:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Independiente Medellin Vasco DA Gama

Independiente Medellin W D L W D W

Vasco DA Gama L W L L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Independiente Medellin Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 2, 26	Home	Cucuta	2 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Leones FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 27, 26	Away	Estudiantes L.P.	1 - 0	Loss
May 21, 26	Away	Cusco	2 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Orsomarso	1 - 1	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Fortaleza FC	1 - 0	Win

Vasco DA Gama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Atletico-MG	0 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	Barracas Central	3 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	RB Bragantino	0 - 3	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Olimpia	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Internacional	4 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 0	Win

Predictions

Independiente Medellin to win

This prediction indicates that Independiente Medellin has a 44.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.53 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply