Independiente vs Newells Old Boys Friday 31st July 2026 03:15 AM football predictions.

Independiente Newells Old Boys

Independiente L W L L L W

Newells Old Boys D D W D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Newells Old Boys	Independiente	1 - 1	January 28, 2026
Newells Old Boys	Independiente	2 - 1	November 26, 2024
Independiente	Newells Old Boys	0 - 2	July 11, 2023
Independiente	Newells Old Boys	1 - 0	September 24, 2022
Newells Old Boys	Independiente	1 - 0	October 31, 2021
Newells Old Boys	Independiente	1 - 2	March 5, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Away	Racing Club	2 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Away	Union Santa Fe	0 - 2	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Botafogo	0 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Rosario Central	3 - 1	Loss
May 5, 26	Home	Caracas FC	2 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	San Lorenzo	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 4, 26	Away	Velez Sarsfield	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Instituto Cordoba	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 17, 26	Away	Union Santa Fe	2 - 3	Win
Apr 12, 26	Home	San Lorenzo	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 5, 26	Away	Central Cordoba de Santiago	1 - 3	Win
Mar 29, 26	Home	Acassuso	0 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
14	Independiente	17	6	6	5	25	23	+2	24
26	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15	27	-12	15

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.76% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Independiente has a 55.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.61 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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