Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic Monday 10th August 2026 12:00 AM football predictions.

Indy Eleven Hartford Athletic

Indy Eleven L L L W L W

Hartford Athletic D L D L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hartford Athletic	Indy Eleven	2 - 2	March 28, 2026
Hartford Athletic	Indy Eleven	0 - 2	September 3, 2025
Indy Eleven	Hartford Athletic	4 - 4	May 28, 2025
Hartford Athletic	Indy Eleven	0 - 0	September 7, 2024
Indy Eleven	Hartford Athletic	4 - 1	May 18, 2024
Hartford Athletic	Indy Eleven	0 - 2	June 24, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Loudoun United	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Detroit City	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Away	Miami FC	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Charleston Battery	2 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Rhode Island	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Rhode Island	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Orange County SC	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Away	Louisville City	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	Indy Eleven	15	6	3	6	18	17	+1	21
20	Hartford Athletic	15	4	7	4	12	14	-2	19

This prediction indicates that Indy Eleven has a 37.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.50 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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