USL Championship
Match Analysis
Indy Eleven
Rhode Island
Indy Eleven
W
W
L
D
W
D
Rhode Island
W
D
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island | Indy Eleven | 1 - 0 | September 13, 2025 |
| Indy Eleven | Rhode Island | 1 - 0 | July 12, 2025 |
| Indy Eleven | Rhode Island | 2 - 3 | November 3, 2024 |
| Indy Eleven | Rhode Island | 1 - 0 | August 7, 2024 |
| Rhode Island | Indy Eleven | 3 - 3 | July 5, 2024 |
Indy Eleven Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Home | Lexington | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Sporting JAX | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | Birmingham Legion | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 11, 26 | Home | Monterey Bay | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 4, 26 | Home | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Rhode Island Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Home | Brooklyn | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Birmingham Legion | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 22, 26 | Home | Charleston Battery | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 11, 26 | Away | Lexington | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 4, 26 | Home | Detroit City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 17 | Rhode Island | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 12 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.97% likelihood that both Indy Eleven and Rhode Island will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Indy Eleven to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Indy Eleven has a 36.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.03 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments