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Sept. 16, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

İnkılapspor Tuzlaspor
İnkılapspor L
Tuzlaspor L D W W L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

İnkılapspor Form (Last 1 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 3, 25 Home Halide Edip Adıvar 1 - 2 Loss

Tuzlaspor Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Apr 25, 26 Away Karaman Belediyespor 3 - 2 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Home Karacabey Belediyespor 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 12, 26 Away Batman Petrolspor 0 - 1 Win
Apr 8, 26 Home Altınordu 2 - 1 Win
Apr 4, 26 Away Halide Edip Adıvar 1 - 0 Loss
Mar 29, 26 Home Ankaragucu 1 - 3 Loss

Predictions

İnkılapspor to win
This prediction indicates that İnkılapspor has a 46.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.13 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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