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Primera División

Aug. 3, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Inter San Carlos CS Herediano
Inter San Carlos L
CS Herediano D W L D W D
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Inter San Carlos have been struggling recently, while CS Herediano come in with moderate form and a notable quality advantage. The model predicts a 61% chance that CS Herediano will win, which is notably higher than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees CS Herediano's recent attacking strength and Inter San Carlos' defensive issues as key factors leaning toward an away win.

Inter San Carlos Form (Last 1 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Away CS Cartagines 3 - 1 Loss

CS Herediano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 24, 26 Home Puntarenas FC 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Deportivo Saprissa 2 - 0 Win
May 14, 26 Away Deportivo Saprissa 2 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Home CS Cartagines 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Away CS Cartagines 0 - 1 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Sporting San Jose 0 - 0 Draw

Primera División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 CS Herediano 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
10 Inter San Carlos 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
CS Herediano to win
This prediction indicates that CS Herediano has a 61.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.50 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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