Inverness CT vs Morton Friday 25th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Championship

Sept. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Inverness CT Morton

Inverness CT L L D L D D

Morton L D L L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Morton	Inverness CT	0 - 1	July 25, 2026
Inverness CT	Morton	3 - 1	May 3, 2024
Morton	Inverness CT	0 - 2	March 2, 2024
Inverness CT	Morton	0 - 0	December 30, 2023
Morton	Inverness CT	2 - 1	December 12, 2023
Morton	Inverness CT	1 - 2	April 1, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Raith Rovers	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Home	Partick	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 16, 26	Away	Heart Of Midlothian	6 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Arbroath	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Dunfermline	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Queen's Park	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Ayr Utd	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	Arbroath	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	Partick	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Inverness CT	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Inverness CT	4	0	3	1	2	4	-2	3
9	Morton	4	0	1	3	2	6	-4	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Inverness CT has a 53.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.48 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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