Ipatinga vs CSA Saturday 04th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Ipatinga CSA

Ipatinga W L W L W D

CSA W D L L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Vitória ES	2 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Vitória ES	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Operario Ferroviario	2 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Away	ABECAT Ouvidorense	2 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Ivinhema	3 - 0	Win
May 18, 26	Away	Uberlandia	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Lagarto	2 - 0	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Lagarto	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Juazeirense	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Atlético Alagoinhas	1 - 7	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	ASA	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	CSE	1 - 5	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
28	Ipatinga	12	5	3	4	14	10	+4	18
51	CSA	12	4	3	5	17	21	-4	15

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.67% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ipatinga will score 0 goals, and CSA will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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