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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 27, 2026 2 days, 7 hours ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ipatinga Vitória ES
Ipatinga L W L W D D
Vitória ES W D D W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Vitória ES Ipatinga 1 - 0 June 20, 2026

Ipatinga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away Vitória ES 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Operario Ferroviario 2 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Away ABECAT Ouvidorense 2 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Ivinhema 3 - 0 Win
May 18, 26 Away Uberlandia 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Home CRAC 0 - 0 Draw

Vitória ES Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Ipatinga 1 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Tombense 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Real Noroeste 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Rio Branco ES 0 - 2 Win
May 16, 26 Away Porto BA 0 - 0 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Democrata GV 2 - 1 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
25 Vitória ES 11 5 3 3 13 8 +5 18
45 Ipatinga 11 4 3 4 12 10 +2 15

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.07% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Ipatinga will score 0 goals, and Vitória ES will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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