Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Wednesday 23rd September 2026 08:45 PM football predictions.

Liga Alef

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

Sept. 23, 2026 7 hours from now VS

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

Match Analysis

Ironi Baka El Garbiya Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

Ironi Baka El Garbiya D L D D L L

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel W L L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ironi Baka El Garbiya	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3 - 1	January 2, 2026

Ironi Baka El Garbiya Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 9, 26	Home	Ironi Nesher	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 27, 26	Away	Ironi Nesher	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 20, 26	Home	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0 - 3	Loss
Feb 13, 26	Away	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	1 - 0	Loss

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Away	Tzeirey Tamra	1 - 4	Win
Sep 9, 26	Away	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	1 - 0	Loss
Feb 19, 26	Home	Hapoel Beit Shean	0 - 1	Loss
Feb 13, 26	Away	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 6, 26	Home	Tzeirey Tamra	0 - 2	Loss
Jan 30, 26	Away	Ironi Nesher	1 - 1	Draw

Liga Alef Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
19	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	2	1	0	1	4	2	+2	3
27	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	2	0	1	1	0	2	-2	1

Predictions

Ironi Baka El Garbiya to win

This prediction indicates that Ironi Baka El Garbiya has a 49.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.11 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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