Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Iskra
Internacional Podgorica
Iskra
W
L
L
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The two teams are considered to be closely matched in overall quality, but both are showing poor recent form, which may impact their performance. The model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which suggests moderate confidence in the home side despite the lack of a clear quality gap. Additionally, the model sees a 53% chance that both teams will score and a 46% chance that the game will finish with fewer than 2.5 goals, indicating expectations of a tight, potentially low-scoring match. Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model’s predictions stand on their own qualitative context.
Iskra Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Lovćen | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Buducnost Podgorica | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jan 30, 26 | Away | Sutjeska | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 22 | Home | Laci | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 7, 22 | Away | Laci | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jan 24, 22 | Away | HNK Cibalia | 0 - 1 | Win |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Iskra to win
This prediction indicates that Iskra has a 43.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.36 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Friendlies Clubs
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