Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor Sunday 16th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Istanbul Basaksehir Kocaelispor

Istanbul Basaksehir L D W W D L

Kocaelispor L L D L D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kocaelispor	Istanbul Basaksehir	0 - 0	April 6, 2026
Istanbul Basaksehir	Kocaelispor	1 - 0	October 31, 2025
Istanbul Basaksehir	Kocaelispor	5 - 2	March 26, 2024
Istanbul Basaksehir	Kocaelispor	3 - 1	October 8, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Inter Turku	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Home	Inter Turku	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 16, 26	Away	Puskas Academy	0 - 2	Win
Jul 15, 26	Away	Red Bull Salzburg	1 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Ried	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 6, 26	Away	Cracovia Krakow	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	Antalyaspor	1 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Fatih Karagümrük	0 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Kasimpasa	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Genclerbirligi	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Goztepe	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	Galatasaray	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Kocaelispor	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Istanbul Basaksehir	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Istanbul Basaksehir has a 63.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.00 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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