UEFA Nations League
Match Analysis
Italy
Belgium
Italy
W
W
W
L
W
W
Belgium
L
W
D
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | Italy | 0 - 1 | November 14, 2024 |
| Italy | Belgium | 2 - 2 | October 10, 2024 |
| Italy | Belgium | 2 - 1 | October 10, 2021 |
| Belgium | Italy | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2021 |
| Belgium | Italy | 0 - 2 | June 13, 2016 |
Italy Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Greece | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 3, 26 | Away | Luxembourg | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Mar 26, 26 | Home | Northern Ireland | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Nov 16, 25 | Home | Norway | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Nov 13, 25 | Away | Moldova | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Oct 14, 25 | Home | Israel | 3 - 0 | Win |
Belgium Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Spain | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 7, 26 | Away | USA | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Senegal | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | New Zealand | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Iran | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 15, 26 | Home | Egypt | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.57% likelihood that both Italy and Belgium will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Italy to win
This prediction indicates that Italy has a 42.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.56 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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