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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Itaquá Athletico Clube Barcelona EC
Itaquá Athletico Clube W W D W W W
Barcelona EC L L L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Barcelona EC Itaquá Athletico Clube 0 - 2 April 25, 2026

Itaquá Athletico Clube Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Away Mauaense 1 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Home Uniao Mogi 4 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Maua 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Manthiqueira 2 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Barcelona EC 0 - 2 Win
Apr 19, 26 Home Mauaense 1 - 0 Win

Barcelona EC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Uniao Mogi 2 - 3 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Maua 1 - 2 Loss
May 9, 26 Away Manthiqueira 2 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Mauaense 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Itaquá Athletico Clube 0 - 2 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Away Uniao Mogi 2 - 0 Loss

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Itaquá Athletico Clube 6 5 1 0 12 3 +9 16
23 Barcelona EC 6 0 0 6 4 12 -8 0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 61.94% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Itaquá Athletico Clube to win
This prediction indicates that Itaquá Athletico Clube has a 78.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.60 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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