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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago
5 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Itaquá Athletico Clube Maua
Itaquá Athletico Clube W W W W D W
Maua D D L W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Maua Itaquá Athletico Clube 1 - 1 May 9, 2026

Itaquá Athletico Clube Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Away Manthiqueira 0 - 2 Win
May 31, 26 Home Barcelona EC 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Mauaense 1 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Home Uniao Mogi 4 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Maua 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Manthiqueira 2 - 0 Win

Maua Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Uniao Mogi 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Mauaense 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Manthiqueira 4 - 2 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Barcelona EC 1 - 2 Win
May 9, 26 Home Itaquá Athletico Clube 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Away Uniao Mogi 2 - 3 Win

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Itaquá Athletico Clube 8 7 1 0 15 3 +12 22
12 Maua 8 3 4 1 13 10 +3 13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Itaquá Athletico Clube to win
This prediction indicates that Itaquá Athletico Clube has a 57.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.62 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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