Itaquá Athletico Clube vs America SP Sunday 02nd August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Itaquá Athletico Clube America SP

Itaquá Athletico Clube W W W W L W

America SP W D W D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Itaquá Athletico Clube Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Uniao Mogi	1 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Uniao Mogi	1 - 4	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Paulínia FU	3 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Paulínia FU	1 - 3	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Uniao Mogi	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Maua	5 - 1	Win

America SP Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Away	José Bonifácio	2 - 4	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	José Bonifácio	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Santacruzense	3 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Santacruzense	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	José Bonifácio	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	Santa Fé FC	1 - 3	Win

Paulista Série B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Itaquá Athletico Clube	14	12	1	1	32	8	+24	37
6	America SP	13	6	6	1	16	7	+9	24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.14% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Itaquá Athletico Clube to win

This prediction indicates that Itaquá Athletico Clube has a 56.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.17 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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