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Serie C logo

Serie C

July 12, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Ituano Ferroviária
Ituano D D L W W W
Ferroviária L W W D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ituano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Figueirense 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Away AO Itabaiana 2 - 2 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Caxias 2 - 1 Loss
May 25, 26 Home Botafogo PB 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Guarani Campinas 1 - 3 Win
May 10, 26 Home Confiança 1 - 0 Win

Ferroviária Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away AO Itabaiana 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Inter De Limeira 2 - 0 Win
Jun 15, 26 Home Barra 1 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Santa Cruz 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Amazonas 1 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Home Brusque 1 - 0 Win

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Ferroviária 12 5 4 3 12 10 +2 19
6 Ituano 11 5 3 3 15 12 +3 18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.62% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Ituano will score 0 goals, and Ferroviária will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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