Serie C
Match Analysis
Ituano
Paysandu
Ituano
L
L
L
D
D
D
Paysandu
L
W
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paysandu | Ituano | 1 - 0 | September 28, 2024 |
| Ituano | Paysandu | 3 - 5 | June 15, 2024 |
| Paysandu | Ituano | 1 - 4 | October 23, 2021 |
| Ituano | Paysandu | 3 - 1 | October 16, 2021 |
Ituano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Brusque | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Ferroviária | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Santa Cruz | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Maranhão | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Figueirense | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | AO Itabaiana | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Paysandu Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Amazonas | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Guarani Campinas | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Ypiranga-RS | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Santa Cruz | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Maranhão | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Inter De Limeira | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Serie C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Paysandu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 23 |
| 14 | Ituano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Ituano to win
This prediction indicates that Ituano has a 40.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.38 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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