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Primera B Metropolitana

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Ituzaingó Deportivo Merlo
Ituzaingó D D L L D L
Deportivo Merlo D L D W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Merlo Ituzaingó 3 - 2 April 11, 2026
Ituzaingó Deportivo Merlo 0 - 1 July 1, 2023
Deportivo Merlo Ituzaingó 0 - 0 March 5, 2023
Ituzaingó Deportivo Merlo 0 - 1 July 26, 2022
Deportivo Merlo Ituzaingó 0 - 1 March 26, 2022
Deportivo Merlo Ituzaingó 0 - 0 December 9, 2019

Ituzaingó Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Talleres Remedios 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Sportivo Italiano 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Deportivo Laferrere 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home San Martín Burzaco 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Away Brown DE Adrogue 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Villa San Carlos 1 - 3 Loss

Deportivo Merlo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Away San Martín Burzaco 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Villa San Carlos 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Liniers 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 14, 26 Home Real Pilar 3 - 2 Win
Jul 10, 26 Away UAI Urquiza 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Villa Dalmine 1 - 2 Loss

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Deportivo Merlo 27 9 9 9 32 40 -8 36
22 Ituzaingó 28 1 9 18 18 45 -27 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.14% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Deportivo Merlo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Merlo has a 39.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.91 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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