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Serie D logo

Serie D

July 4, 2026 3 days, 13 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Ivinhema ASA
Ivinhema D W D D L L
ASA W D D D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ivinhema Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 29, 26 Away Democrata GV 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Home Democrata GV 3 - 1 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away CRAC 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Uberlandia 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Ipatinga 3 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Operario Ferroviario 2 - 0 Loss

ASA Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Sergipe 0 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Home Sergipe 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Away Jacuipense 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away CSE 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Home CSA 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Juazeirense 1 - 0 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
22 ASA 12 5 5 2 13 8 +5 20
46 Ivinhema 11 4 4 3 12 13 -1 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Ivinhema will score 0 goals, and ASA will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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