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Ykkösliiga

Aug. 7, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

JäPS MP
JäPS W L W L L W
MP L D W L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
JäPS MP 0 - 2 May 22, 2026
JäPS MP 4 - 0 August 30, 2024
JäPS MP 1 - 1 July 17, 2024
MP JäPS 0 - 3 May 19, 2024
MP JäPS 0 - 2 July 14, 2023
JäPS MP 1 - 3 May 6, 2023

JäPS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Away EIF 0 - 1 Win
Jul 10, 26 Away Kooteepee 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 3, 26 Home SJK Akatemia 1 - 0 Win
Jun 28, 26 Away KäPa 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 12, 26 Home PK-35 0 - 5 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Away Haka 1 - 2 Win

MP Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 15, 26 Away JIPPO 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away SJK Akatemia 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Home Haka 2 - 1 Win
Jun 26, 26 Away PK-35 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Klubi-04 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away EIF 1 - 0 Loss

Ykkösliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 JäPS 15 7 1 7 14 23 -9 22
6 MP 15 5 2 8 14 19 -5 17

Predictions

MP to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that MP has a 36.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.50 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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