Ekstraklasa
Match Analysis
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
D
W
W
D
W
W
Korona Kielce
D
W
D
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | Jagiellonia | 1 - 1 | April 10, 2026 |
| Jagiellonia | Korona Kielce | 3 - 1 | October 5, 2025 |
| Korona Kielce | Jagiellonia | 3 - 1 | April 27, 2025 |
| Jagiellonia | Korona Kielce | 3 - 1 | October 27, 2024 |
| Jagiellonia | Korona Kielce | 3 - 0 | May 11, 2024 |
| Korona Kielce | Jagiellonia | 2 - 2 | November 11, 2023 |
Jagiellonia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Polessya | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Pogoń Siedlce | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Zaglebie Lubin | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | GKS Katowice | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Raków Częstochowa | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Pogon Szczecin | 3 - 2 | Win |
Korona Kielce Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Omonia Nicosia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Zemplín Michalovce | 4 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Cracovia Krakow | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Widzew Łódź | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Raków Częstochowa | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 1, 26 | Home | Piast Gliwice | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Ekstraklasa Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Korona Kielce | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Jagiellonia | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Jagiellonia to win
This prediction indicates that Jagiellonia has a 61.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.93 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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