Ekstraklasa
Match Analysis
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
W
W
W
L
W
W
Pogon Szczecin
L
L
L
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia | Pogon Szczecin | 3 - 2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Pogon Szczecin | Jagiellonia | 1 - 2 | November 9, 2025 |
| Jagiellonia | Pogon Szczecin | 1 - 1 | May 24, 2025 |
| Pogon Szczecin | Jagiellonia | 1 - 1 | December 1, 2024 |
| Jagiellonia | Pogon Szczecin | 2 - 2 | April 26, 2024 |
| Pogon Szczecin | Jagiellonia | 2 - 1 | October 28, 2023 |
Jagiellonia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Motor Lublin | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Łomża | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Korona Kielce | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | FC Nordsjaelland | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Sparta Praha | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Pafos | 1 - 0 | Win |
Pogon Szczecin Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Legia Warszawa | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Sturm Graz | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Fenerbahce | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Chrobry Głogów | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Zaglebie Lubin | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | BFC Dynamo | 0 - 3 | Win |
Ekstraklasa Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.6% likelihood that both Jagiellonia and Pogon Szczecin will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Jagiellonia to win
This prediction indicates that Jagiellonia has a 61.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.62 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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