Japan vs Venezuela Monday 28th September 2026 01:25 PM football predictions.

Friendlies

Sept. 28, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Japan Venezuela

Japan L D W D W W

Venezuela W W W W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Japan	Venezuela	1 - 4	November 19, 2019
Japan	Venezuela	1 - 1	November 16, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 29, 26	Away	Brazil	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 25, 26	Home	Sweden	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Tunisia	0 - 4	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Netherlands	2 - 2	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Iceland	1 - 0	Win
Mar 31, 26	Away	England	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 10, 26	Away	Iraq	0 - 2	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Türkiye	1 - 2	Win
Nov 19, 25	Home	Canada	2 - 0	Win
Nov 15, 25	Home	Australia	1 - 0	Win
Oct 11, 25	Away	Argentina	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 18, 25	Away	USA	3 - 1	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Japan has a 43.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.38 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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