J1 League
Match Analysis
JEF United Chiba
Fagiano Okayama
JEF United Chiba
L
L
D
L
D
L
Fagiano Okayama
W
L
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fagiano Okayama | JEF United Chiba | 0 - 0 | August 10, 2024 |
| JEF United Chiba | Fagiano Okayama | 2 - 1 | June 1, 2024 |
| Fagiano Okayama | JEF United Chiba | 0 - 5 | October 1, 2023 |
| JEF United Chiba | Fagiano Okayama | 1 - 1 | March 25, 2023 |
| Fagiano Okayama | JEF United Chiba | 1 - 1 | July 30, 2022 |
| JEF United Chiba | Fagiano Okayama | 1 - 0 | May 8, 2022 |
JEF United Chiba Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Machida Zelvia | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Kashiwa Reysol | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Avispa Fukuoka | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 - 2 | Loss |
Fagiano Okayama Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | V-varen Nagasaki | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Cerezo Osaka | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | FC Schalke 04 | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Werder Bremen | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | SC Paderborn 07 | 3 - 1 | Loss |
J1 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Fagiano Okayama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.63% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.JEF United Chiba to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that JEF United Chiba has a 36.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.49 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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