Jeju United FC vs Incheon United Sunday 02nd August 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Jeju United FC Incheon United

Jeju United FC W D D L L W

Incheon United W L L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Incheon United	Jeju United FC	1 - 0	April 25, 2026
Incheon United	Jeju United FC	1 - 2	October 19, 2024
Jeju United FC	Incheon United	0 - 1	August 10, 2024
Jeju United FC	Incheon United	1 - 0	June 26, 2024
Incheon United	Jeju United FC	0 - 1	April 6, 2024
Incheon United	Jeju United FC	2 - 1	September 16, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Pohang Steelers	2 - 1	Win
Jul 12, 26	Home	Daejeon Citizen	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Away	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	FC Anyang	1 - 2	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Ulsan Hyundai FC	2 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	FC Seoul	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Jeonbuk Motors	1 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Home	FC Anyang	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	FC Seoul	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Gwangju FC	4 - 0	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Pohang Steelers	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	0 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Incheon United	17	6	3	8	21	19	+2	21
8	Jeju United FC	17	5	5	7	14	17	-3	20

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Jeju United FC has a 40.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.41 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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