Primera C
Match Analysis
JJ Urquiza
El Porvenir
JJ Urquiza
L
D
D
W
D
D
El Porvenir
L
D
L
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, but JJ Urquiza's moderate recent form contrasts with El Porvenir's poor recent form, tilting the balance slightly in favor of the home side. The model predicts a home win with a 36% probability, which is broadly in line with the teams' quality gap given the form difference. Additionally, recent meetings between these teams have usually ended level with few goals, supporting the prediction of an under 1.5 goals outcome. The model also sees a 38% chance that neither team will score, reflecting the trend of tight, low-scoring encounters.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Porvenir | JJ Urquiza | 0 - 0 | April 18, 2026 |
| El Porvenir | JJ Urquiza | 0 - 0 | July 27, 2025 |
| JJ Urquiza | El Porvenir | 2 - 1 | April 13, 2025 |
| JJ Urquiza | El Porvenir | 0 - 0 | July 21, 2024 |
| El Porvenir | JJ Urquiza | 1 - 1 | February 18, 2024 |
| JJ Urquiza | El Porvenir | 2 - 0 | May 19, 2018 |
JJ Urquiza Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Estrella Del Sur | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Berazategui | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Victoriano Arenas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Muñiz | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Centro Español | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Lugano | 0 - 0 | Draw |
El Porvenir Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Yupanqui | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Fénix | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Sportivo Barracas | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Mercedes | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Lujan | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | General Lamadrid | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | El Porvenir | 23 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 26 |
| 27 | JJ Urquiza | 23 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 21 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 62.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.JJ Urquiza to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that JJ Urquiza has a 36.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.86 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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