Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé Saturday 30th May 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Joinville Guarany de Bagé

Joinville D L L D W W

Guarany de Bagé L L W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Guarany de Bagé	Joinville	0 - 0	April 12, 2026
Guarany de Bagé	Joinville	2 - 1	July 27, 2025
Joinville	Guarany de Bagé	1 - 0	April 19, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Cianorte	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Santa Catarina	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Cascavel	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Cascavel	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Santa Catarina	2 - 1	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	Cianorte	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Cascavel	0 - 4	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	São Luiz	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Santa Catarina	1 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Santa Catarina	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	São Luiz	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Cascavel	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
37	Joinville	8	3	3	2	7	5	+2	12
92	Guarany de Bagé	8	1	1	6	2	15	-13	4

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 60.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Joinville has a 41.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.51 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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