José Bonifácio vs America SP Saturday 18th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

José Bonifácio America SP

José Bonifácio W W D W D W

America SP W D D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
America SP	José Bonifácio	1 - 1	June 20, 2026
José Bonifácio	America SP	1 - 1	May 17, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	Manthiqueira	2 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Manthiqueira	0 - 2	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	America SP	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Assisense	1 - 0	Win
Jun 7, 26	Home	Riopretano	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Away	Santa Fé FC	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Santacruzense	3 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Santacruzense	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	José Bonifácio	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	Santa Fé FC	1 - 3	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	Tupa	3 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Riopretano	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	José Bonifácio	11	7	4	0	19	6	+13	25
6	America SP	12	6	5	1	16	7	+9	23

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that José Bonifácio has a 53.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.42 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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