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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

José Bonifácio Assisense
José Bonifácio D W W D D W
Assisense W D D D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Assisense José Bonifácio 2 - 2 May 8, 2026

José Bonifácio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Riopretano 1 - 1 Draw
May 29, 26 Away Santa Fé FC 0 - 2 Win
May 24, 26 Home Tupa 2 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Home America SP 1 - 1 Draw
May 8, 26 Away Assisense 2 - 2 Draw
May 3, 26 Away Riopretano 0 - 1 Win

Assisense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 5, 26 Home Santa Fé FC 4 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Away Tupa 1 - 1 Draw
May 22, 26 Home America SP 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Riopretano 1 - 1 Draw
May 8, 26 Home José Bonifácio 2 - 2 Draw
May 1, 26 Away Santa Fé FC 0 - 1 Win

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 José Bonifácio 8 5 3 0 15 5 +10 18
12 Assisense 8 3 4 1 13 10 +3 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

José Bonifácio to win
This prediction indicates that José Bonifácio has a 45.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.91 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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