José Bonifácio vs Manthiqueira Sunday 05th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

José Bonifácio Manthiqueira

José Bonifácio W D W D W W

Manthiqueira L W W L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Manthiqueira	José Bonifácio	0 - 2	June 27, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Manthiqueira	0 - 2	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	America SP	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Assisense	1 - 0	Win
Jun 7, 26	Home	Riopretano	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Away	Santa Fé FC	0 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Tupa	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	José Bonifácio	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Mauaense	2 - 1	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Barcelona EC	1 - 5	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	Itaquá Athletico Clube	0 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Uniao Mogi	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Maua	4 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	José Bonifácio	11	7	4	0	19	6	+13	25
15	Manthiqueira	11	4	2	5	17	19	-2	14

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that José Bonifácio has a 59.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.57 %

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