Primera A
Match Analysis
Junior
Once Caldas
Junior
L
D
L
D
L
W
Once Caldas
D
L
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Junior and Once Caldas have been inconsistent in recent games, with Junior showing weaker form compared to Once Caldas. The two teams are considered fairly even in overall quality, and their past meetings have often included a good number of goals. The model predicts a 49% chance that Junior will win at home, which is slightly less confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also sees a good chance of both teams scoring and of there being more than one or two goals in the match, aligning reasonably well with the market odds on those outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior | Once Caldas | 2 - 2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Once Caldas | Junior | 0 - 1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Once Caldas | Junior | 2 - 1 | February 12, 2026 |
| Once Caldas | Junior | 2 - 2 | July 26, 2025 |
| Junior | Once Caldas | 2 - 0 | February 13, 2025 |
| Junior | Once Caldas | 1 - 2 | December 1, 2024 |
Junior Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Millonarios | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Barranquilla | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Deportes Tolima | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Barranquilla | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 8, 26 | Away | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 3, 26 | Home | Atletico Nacional | 3 - 0 | Win |
Once Caldas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Jaguares | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | America de Cali | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Santa Fe | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Envigado | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Envigado | 3 - 0 | Win |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Junior | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 31 | +8 | 44 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 41 | 30 | +11 | 39 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.31% likelihood that both Junior and Once Caldas will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Junior to win
This prediction indicates that Junior has a 48.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.59 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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