Juventud vs Cerro Sunday 27th September 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Primera División - Apertura

Sept. 27, 2026 4 days, 15 hours from now VS

Juventud Cerro

Juventud W L D D W W

Cerro L W W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cerro	Juventud	1 - 0	March 25, 2026
Juventud	Cerro	1 - 0	August 31, 2025
Cerro	Juventud	2 - 1	March 8, 2025
Juventud	Cerro	1 - 1	August 25, 2022
Cerro	Juventud	0 - 1	May 29, 2022
Juventud	Cerro	2 - 2	April 9, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Away	Albion FC	1 - 3	Win
Sep 19, 26	Away	Deportivo Maldonado	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Home	Danubio	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Away	Club Nacional	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Deportivo Maldonado	2 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Central Espanol	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Penarol	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Away	Progreso	1 - 3	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	Racing Montevideo	1 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Boston River	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 21, 26	Away	Liverpool Montevideo	4 - 0	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Albion FC	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Juventud	30	9	8	13	35	41	-6	35
13	Cerro	29	9	5	15	23	43	-20	32

This prediction indicates that Juventud has a 47.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.57 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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