Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
W
W
L
D
D
W
Danubio
L
D
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | Juventud | 1 - 1 | July 5, 2026 |
| Danubio | Juventud | 4 - 1 | March 16, 2026 |
| Danubio | Juventud | 2 - 1 | August 10, 2025 |
| Juventud | Danubio | 3 - 1 | June 21, 2025 |
| Juventud | Danubio | 2 - 2 | February 9, 2025 |
| Danubio | Juventud | 0 - 1 | October 13, 2021 |
Juventud Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Deportivo Maldonado | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Central Espanol | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Atletico Torque | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Cerro Largo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maldonado | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Albion FC | 0 - 1 | Win |
Danubio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Progreso | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Racing Montevideo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Boston River | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Cerro | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Albion FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Atletico Torque | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Juventud | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 30 |
| 15 | Danubio | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 24 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Juventud to win
This prediction indicates that Juventud has a 45.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.18 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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