Juventude vs Fortaleza EC Sunday 16th August 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

Juventude Fortaleza EC

Juventude W L W W D W

Fortaleza EC W L W L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fortaleza EC	Juventude	2 - 1	April 4, 2026
Juventude	Fortaleza EC	1 - 2	October 5, 2025
Fortaleza EC	Juventude	5 - 0	May 10, 2025
Juventude	Fortaleza EC	0 - 3	November 2, 2024
Fortaleza EC	Juventude	2 - 1	June 30, 2024
Juventude	Fortaleza EC	1 - 1	September 18, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Avai	1 - 0	Win
Jul 24, 26	Away	Botafogo SP	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Cuiaba	2 - 0	Win
Jul 10, 26	Home	Vila Nova	1 - 0	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Nautico Recife	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Home	Ceara	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Botafogo SP	1 - 0	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	Vila Nova	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Novorizontino	1 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	Atletico Goianiense	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	Ponte Preta	2 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	Sport Recife	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Juventude	20	10	5	5	22	12	+10	35
7	Fortaleza EC	19	9	4	6	22	19	+3	31

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Juventude has a 43.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.68 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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