Ettan - Norra
Match Analysis
Järfälla
Karlberg
Järfälla
L
L
L
L
L
W
Karlberg
D
L
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karlberg | Järfälla | 1 - 3 | May 16, 2026 |
| Järfälla | Karlberg | 1 - 1 | September 17, 2023 |
| Karlberg | Järfälla | 0 - 1 | May 18, 2023 |
| Järfälla | Karlberg | 1 - 3 | October 17, 2021 |
| Karlberg | Järfälla | 6 - 1 | August 14, 2021 |
Järfälla Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Assyriska FF | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Stockholm Internazionale | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Sollentuna | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | IF Karlstad | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Stockholm Internazionale | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Umeå FC | 1 - 3 | Win |
Karlberg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Hammarby Talang | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | AFC Eskilstuna | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Stocksund | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Enköping | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Stocksund | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | AFC Eskilstuna | 1 - 2 | Win |
Ettan - Norra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Karlberg | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | Järfälla | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 15 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.52% likelihood that both Järfälla and Karlberg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Karlberg to win
This prediction indicates that Karlberg has a 44.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.77 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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