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Úrvalsdeild

June 15, 2026 2 weeks ago
3 – 4
Full Time

Match Analysis

KA Akureyri Fram Reykjavik
KA Akureyri L L W W W L
Fram Reykjavik W W D W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
KA Akureyri Fram Reykjavik 2 - 0 August 24, 2025
Fram Reykjavik KA Akureyri 1 - 2 May 29, 2025
Fram Reykjavik KA Akureyri 1 - 4 October 26, 2024
Fram Reykjavik KA Akureyri 1 - 2 August 25, 2024
KA Akureyri Fram Reykjavik 3 - 2 June 23, 2024
Fram Reykjavik KA Akureyri 1 - 0 October 1, 2023

KA Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away KR Reykjavik 5 - 3 Loss
May 22, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 0 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Away FH hafnarfjordur 1 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Home IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away Thor Akureyri 0 - 1 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Keflavik 1 - 2 Loss

Fram Reykjavik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Home Breidablik 4 - 3 Win
May 22, 26 Away Stjarnan 0 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Away KR Reykjavik 2 - 2 Draw
May 8, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 3 - 2 Win
May 3, 26 Away FH hafnarfjordur 3 - 4 Win
Apr 27, 26 Home IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 - 1 Win

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Fram Reykjavik 9 6 2 1 25 16 +9 20
8 KA Akureyri 9 3 1 5 12 15 -3 10

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.11% likelihood that both KA Akureyri and Fram Reykjavik will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
KA Akureyri to win
This prediction indicates that KA Akureyri has a 44.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.76 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 78.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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