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Úrvalsdeild

July 27, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

KA Akureyri Thor Akureyri
KA Akureyri W L L L L L
Thor Akureyri L D L D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Thor Akureyri KA Akureyri 0 - 1 May 2, 2026
Thor Akureyri KA Akureyri 0 - 3 September 24, 2016
KA Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1 - 0 July 16, 2016

KA Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 12, 26 Home IA Akranes 3 - 2 Win
Jul 2, 26 Away Vikingur Reykjavik 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Away Stjarnan 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away Breidablik 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 15, 26 Home Fram Reykjavik 3 - 4 Loss
May 31, 26 Away KR Reykjavik 5 - 3 Loss

Thor Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 12, 26 Away Fram Reykjavik 6 - 1 Loss
Jul 2, 26 Home KR Reykjavik 3 - 3 Draw
Jun 28, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 2 - 4 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away FH hafnarfjordur 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 - 4 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Stjarnan 1 - 3 Loss

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 KA Akureyri 14 4 1 9 22 30 -8 13
12 Thor Akureyri 14 2 2 10 15 41 -26 8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.93% likelihood that both KA Akureyri and Thor Akureyri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
KA Akureyri to win
This prediction indicates that KA Akureyri has a 56.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.30 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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