Kagoshima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma Saturday 08th August 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Kagoshima United Thespakusatsu Gunma

Kagoshima United W D W W L L

Thespakusatsu Gunma L L W L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Thespakusatsu Gunma	Kagoshima United	2 - 3	July 26, 2025
Kagoshima United	Thespakusatsu Gunma	5 - 2	March 8, 2025
Kagoshima United	Thespakusatsu Gunma	1 - 1	July 13, 2024
Thespakusatsu Gunma	Kagoshima United	1 - 1	February 25, 2024
Kagoshima United	Thespakusatsu Gunma	0 - 2	July 22, 2018
Thespakusatsu Gunma	Kagoshima United	0 - 2	April 7, 2018

Kagoshima United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Blaublitz Akita	0 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Albirex Niigata	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Kitakyushu	1 - 5	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Roasso Kumamoto	2 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Biwako Shiga	1 - 0	Loss
May 6, 26	Home	Oita Trinita	0 - 1	Loss

Thespakusatsu Gunma Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Kanazawa	4 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	FC Gifu	0 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Sagamihara	7 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Blaublitz Akita	3 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Tochigi City	0 - 0	Draw
May 6, 26	Away	Montedio Yamagata	1 - 2	Win

J3 League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Thespakusatsu Gunma	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Kagoshima United	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.0% likelihood that both Kagoshima United and Thespakusatsu Gunma will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Kagoshima United to win

This prediction indicates that Kagoshima United has a 56.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.64 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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