Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau Saturday 13th June 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Kairat Almaty Atyrau

Kairat Almaty L D W D W W

Atyrau D D D D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kairat Almaty	Atyrau	4 - 0	April 16, 2025
Atyrau	Kairat Almaty	1 - 4	April 6, 2025
Atyrau	Kairat Almaty	0 - 1	November 10, 2024
Kairat Almaty	Atyrau	1 - 0	May 4, 2024
Atyrau	Kairat Almaty	0 - 0	October 29, 2023
Kairat Almaty	Atyrau	2 - 2	March 5, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 28, 26	Away	Ordabasy	2 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Kaisar	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Zhenys	1 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Ulytau	1 - 1	Draw
May 6, 26	Away	Kaisar	1 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Irtysh	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 28, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Zhetysu	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Aktobe	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Okzhetpes	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Altay	1 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	FC Astana	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	13	6	5	2	16	10	+6	23
10	Atyrau	12	2	8	2	8	7	+1	14

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Kairat Almaty has a 66.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.40 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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