Premier League
Match Analysis
Kairat Almaty
Zhenys
Kairat Almaty
L
L
L
L
W
W
Zhenys
W
D
L
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts that Kairat Almaty will win with a probability of 71%, reflecting the clear quality gap in their favor and their moderate recent form compared to Zhenys’ poor form. The model also suggests that both teams are likely to score (51% chance) and that the game will see more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals (54% and 56% chances respectively), influenced by the history of goal-filled meetings between these sides. While Zhenys have a rest advantage, the market odds show slightly less confidence in a home win and in the match exceeding 1.5 goals than the model does.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhenys | Kairat Almaty | 1 - 2 | May 17, 2026 |
| Kairat Almaty | Zhenys | 3 - 1 | September 22, 2025 |
| Zhenys | Kairat Almaty | 1 - 2 | May 9, 2025 |
| Kairat Almaty | Zhenys | 1 - 1 | July 14, 2024 |
| Zhenys | Kairat Almaty | 0 - 2 | May 12, 2024 |
Kairat Almaty Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Anderlecht | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Ulytau | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Levski Sofia | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Levski Sofia | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Omonia Nicosia | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Ordabasy | 2 - 1 | Win |
Zhenys Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Zhetysu | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Yelimay Semey | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Kaspiy | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Ulytau | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Irtysh | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | FC Astana | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kairat Almaty | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 26 | +5 | 36 |
| 9 | Zhenys | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 26 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.66% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Kairat Almaty to win
This prediction indicates that Kairat Almaty has a 69.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.92 %Most Likely Scorelines
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