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J2 League

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
3 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Kamatamare Sanuki Kitakyushu
Kamatamare Sanuki D W L D L L
Kitakyushu L L D L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kamatamare Sanuki Kitakyushu 1 - 4 October 19, 2025
Kitakyushu Kamatamare Sanuki 2 - 0 March 8, 2025
Kamatamare Sanuki Kitakyushu 1 - 2 November 10, 2024
Kitakyushu Kamatamare Sanuki 1 - 1 April 14, 2024
Kamatamare Sanuki Kitakyushu 1 - 0 October 22, 2023
Kitakyushu Kamatamare Sanuki 3 - 0 March 12, 2023

Kamatamare Sanuki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home Osaka 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Imabari 1 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Home Kochi United 0 - 3 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Kataller Toyama 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 29, 26 Home Kanazawa 0 - 1 Loss

Kitakyushu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home Kagoshima United 1 - 5 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Biwako Shiga 1 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Gainare Tottori 1 - 1 Draw
May 6, 26 Home Roasso Kumamoto 1 - 2 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Oita Trinita 2 - 1 Win
Apr 29, 26 Away Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3 - 0 Loss

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
35 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 5 3 10 14 32 -18 18
38 Kitakyushu 18 4 3 11 17 32 -15 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Kitakyushu to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Kitakyushu has a 39.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.94 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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