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Iraqi League

Sept. 7, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Karbala Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Karbala D D W L L L
Al Quwa Al Jawiya D D W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Karbala Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 4 May 13, 2025
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Karbala 1 - 0 February 10, 2025
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Karbala 2 - 1 April 25, 2024
Karbala Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0 - 3 December 16, 2023
Karbala Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 2 April 4, 2023
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Karbala 1 - 0 October 19, 2022

Karbala Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Home Al Zawra'a 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Away Al Shorta 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 8, 26 Away Baghdad 0 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 25 Home Al Hudod 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 27, 25 Home Naft 2 - 4 Loss
Jun 18, 25 Away Newroz 1 - 0 Loss

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Away Erbil 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 14, 26 Away Newroz 3 - 3 Draw
Jun 2, 26 Home Zakho 3 - 2 Win
May 28, 26 Away Naft Maysan 0 - 2 Win
May 20, 26 Home Al Zawra'a 2 - 1 Win
May 15, 26 Home Al Talaba 2 - 1 Win

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
10 Karbala 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.4% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win
This prediction indicates that Al Quwa Al Jawiya has a 61.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.64 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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