Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka Saturday 30th May 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Kariobangi Sharks Sofapaka

Kariobangi Sharks D D W D W L

Sofapaka L D L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sofapaka	Kariobangi Sharks	0 - 0	December 22, 2025
Sofapaka	Kariobangi Sharks	0 - 0	May 10, 2025
Kariobangi Sharks	Sofapaka	1 - 2	December 1, 2024
Kariobangi Sharks	Sofapaka	5 - 2	May 11, 2024
Sofapaka	Kariobangi Sharks	2 - 1	December 10, 2023
Sofapaka	Kariobangi Sharks	1 - 0	May 7, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Away	Police	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Homeboyz	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Nairobi United	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Bidco United	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Murang'a SEAL	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Mara Sugar	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Home	KCB	1 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Shabana	1 - 1	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Posta Rangers FC	3 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Mathare United	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	APS Bomet	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Tusker	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	Kariobangi Sharks	33	8	14	11	26	31	-5	38
18	Sofapaka	33	3	10	20	19	45	-26	19

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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