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III Liga - Group 3 logo

III Liga - Group 3

Aug. 1, 2026 2 days, 14 hours ago
0 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra L W L W W L
Zaglebie Sosnowiec D L L L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra are favored to win because they hold a significant quality advantage and have shown moderate recent form, while Zaglebie Sosnowiec are struggling form-wise—though both teams arrive with similar rest levels. The model leans toward a home win at 59%, but also sees a reasonable chance of goals from both sides (55% for both teams to score), suggesting this won't be a defensive stalemate despite the quality gap. With over 2.5 goals predicted at 57%, the expectation is for an open, attacking contest where Jelenia Góra's superiority creates scoring opportunities for both teams.

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Miedź Legnica II 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Zagłębie Lubin II 0 - 4 Win
Jul 8, 26 Away Słowianin 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Górnik Polkowice 1 - 3 Win
May 30, 26 Home Górnik Zabrze II 2 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Lechia Zielona Góra 4 - 0 Loss

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Ślęza Wrocław 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Podhale Nowy Targ 1 - 4 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Home Polonia Nysa 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Kalisz 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 8, 26 Away Kluczbork 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Podbeskidzie 2 - 2 Draw

III Liga - Group 3 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.74% likelihood that both Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and Zaglebie Sosnowiec will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to win
This prediction indicates that Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has a 58.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.67 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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