Ettan - Norra
Match Analysis
Karlberg
Arlanda
Karlberg
L
W
L
W
W
W
Arlanda
W
L
D
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arlanda | Karlberg | 1 - 1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Karlberg | Arlanda | 3 - 2 | February 8, 2026 |
| Karlberg | Arlanda | 1 - 3 | August 9, 2025 |
| Arlanda | Karlberg | 0 - 1 | June 19, 2025 |
| Karlberg | Arlanda | 2 - 0 | September 10, 2023 |
| Arlanda | Karlberg | 1 - 2 | May 13, 2023 |
Karlberg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | AFC Eskilstuna | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Stocksund | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Enköping | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Stocksund | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | AFC Eskilstuna | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Sollentuna | 1 - 2 | Win |
Arlanda Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | FBK Karlstad | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Stockholm Internazionale | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Piteå | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Hammarby Talang | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Haninge | 6 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | IF Karlstad | 1 - 0 | Win |
Ettan - Norra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arlanda | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 19 | +6 | 30 |
| 8 | Karlberg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 25 | +3 | 24 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.22% likelihood that both Karlberg and Arlanda will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Karlberg or Arlanda to win
This prediction indicates that Karlberg has a 41.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.41 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments