Ettan - Norra
Match Analysis
Karlberg
Piteå
Karlberg
W
L
L
D
L
L
Piteå
D
L
L
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piteå | Karlberg | 1 - 1 | September 1, 2024 |
| Karlberg | Piteå | 1 - 0 | April 7, 2024 |
Karlberg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | Vasalund | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Hammarby Talang | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 4, 26 | Away | AFC Eskilstuna | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Home | FBK Karlstad | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Stockholm Internazionale | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Järfälla | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Piteå Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | AFC Eskilstuna | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 12, 26 | Away | Umeå FC | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Enköping | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Stockholm Internazionale | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Sollentuna | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Stocksund | 2 - 3 | Win |
Ettan - Norra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Karlberg | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Piteå | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 9 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.28% likelihood that both Karlberg and Piteå will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Karlberg to win
This prediction indicates that Karlberg has a 45.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.36 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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