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Ettan - Norra logo

Ettan - Norra

June 24, 2026 5 days, 2 hours ago
3 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Karlberg Piteå
Karlberg W L L D L L
Piteå D L L D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Piteå Karlberg 1 - 1 September 1, 2024
Karlberg Piteå 1 - 0 April 7, 2024

Karlberg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 18, 26 Away Vasalund 0 - 4 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home Hammarby Talang 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 4, 26 Away AFC Eskilstuna 3 - 2 Loss
May 31, 26 Home FBK Karlstad 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Stockholm Internazionale 2 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Järfälla 1 - 3 Loss

Piteå Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home AFC Eskilstuna 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Away Umeå FC 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 7, 26 Home Enköping 0 - 2 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Stockholm Internazionale 2 - 2 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Sollentuna 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Stocksund 2 - 3 Win

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Karlberg 13 4 3 6 20 22 -2 15
15 Piteå 13 2 3 8 15 29 -14 9

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.28% likelihood that both Karlberg and Piteå will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Karlberg to win
This prediction indicates that Karlberg has a 45.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.36 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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